Originally Posted by
outerfix
Has anyone run the numbers on time to upgrade based on retirements and projected aircraft additions?
Retirements are minimal. There were none this year and I believe none for 2015. I've heard there is one Age 65 guy in 2016. I wouldn't count on retirements here to move up the list. As for aircraft additions the *current* plan is 5 planes this year and 5 planes for 2016. Then we don't have any until the 30 NEOs from 2020-2022. This is subject to change and in all likeliness now that VX is a public company with better access to financial markets and leasing options rates, most likely there will be planes in the 2017-2019 timeframe. But currently the previous mentioned fleet plan is the only thing official. So going by that I'd say 2022 for a newhire today to upgrade = ~ 8 yrs.