Originally Posted by
snippercr
Maybe the eagle/envoy as we know it, but once it shrinks down to an appropriate size (~100 airframes, 1300-1500 pilots), the flow will catch up and upgrade times will drop. Not soon enough for anyone on property or possibly even in basic flight training but it wont always be the 10 year upgrade it has been known for. Then the flow will be enough to attract people, especially with the pipeline program where if you are hired as a pipeline instructor, you are already an AA pilot with this new TA.
That time of offer is pretty good especially when majors continue hiring (again, 5-10 year timeline) but there are plenty of RJ captains with their 1000 TPIC time.
Again - none of this effects people currently on property as first we have to shrink to that size.
Any idea how many pilots are on property right now?
If I stick with this aviation thing (I'm at my commercial/instrument SEL) I project I'll be there in 3 years via the US aviation academy instructor pipeline program. Still too early to hope for things to be better by then?
Also, (granted no 9/11's, economic collapses, or the discovery of teleportation) I suspect it would take me around 8 years to flow (480/5 per month). Do you think it would take more or less time to flow in reality, or are my expectations realistic?