Right. But some guys can't see past that. They just take worse case scenario (i.e. they have apps in everywhere) and then they assume one the pool is depleted there are no more pilots. The Club of Rome said (in the 1970s) we would be out of oil worldwide by 2010 using the same logic. Of course we kept finding more oil, faster than we were using it.

But despite having hired 1,000 off the street in the last few years, plus removing another 400 by interviewing and not hiring them, the number of applicants has grown.

There may be an "overall" pilot shortage at some point in the future, but it won't affect United's hiring. Like the video explained, there are more than enough pilots, just not enough to fly for $18,000 a year starting pay. I don't blame them, they are certainly worth more than that.

There are 4 true majors. United, American, Delta, and SWA. Those 4 are the ones everyone is trying to get to. Yes there are other good airline jobs, but these are really the ones at the top of the list for most pilots out there.

It will be interesting to see what happens at the regionals over the next few years though.