Originally Posted by
captkdobbs
Unless there is another world event, I don't think anyone who enters a major will understand what true stagnation is in the next 10 years.
When the older generation (no offense; I'm a member) talks 'stagnation' they refer to sitting panel on a 3-place jet for 7-15 years before they can touch a yoke again. Or getting your dream job, and maybe even your dream aircraft/seat, but not being able to get to your desired base for 7-12 years because, instead of an AE every 6-8 WEEKs, the openings trickle in 2-4 slots every 6 months.
Another definition for the moderately-old guys is getting stuck at a regional for 15 years because the majors have been 'stagnant' and haven't hired.
If you are trying to read the tea leaves for what aircraft/base you should bid but are stressing about stagnation, stop stressing. Things are moving so fast it makes my head spin. (in a good way, right now) The staffing guys publish in every update 'bid what you want and want what you bid.' Check the aircraft that operate in your desired base and know that, with all the movement, you should be able to get to your base relatively quickly. No guarantees, but we're in some pretty good times.
Don't forget being furloughed for half of a decade or being furloughed twice or be stuck in NY for 4 years on reserve. Now that is stagnation