Far from management.. Lol. Just don't want to see the people I work with make a bad decision influenced by poachers with an agenda to go to some other dump with no future.

Eagles upgrade is less than 8 years. I upgraded in about 7. Still bad? Yup. Not arguing that. Our junior CA is mid 07 right now.. The senior FO's right now are getting screwed. Things will take a little while to shake out and get that moving again. Can't really predict it. What are the Endeavor "downgrades" seniority right now? I honestly don't know anymore. Have they been moved back to the left seat yet??

I love how people just make up mythical Eagle upgrade forecasts. Who came up with that? You? Lol. There is no official projection on anything here right now and impossible to say for someone junior here. It's still completely up in the air what will happen here. We don't know how many 170's we will end up with. We don't know if all those aircraft projected to leave will actually do so in a short period of time. We don't know how fast that transfers will "actually" happen. They are already delayed on the CRJ transfers from the projected 3 down to about 1.5- 2 per month due to de-conformity taking a couple weeks each by MX and that could easily back up even more since it hasn't really even cranked up yet. (I just recently heard this from the fleet manager.) We don't know if we will get a retention bonus as well. It may be equal to or greater than Endeavors. It's being discussed. I would guess "possibly" but probably not until they get us to the size they want.. Who really knows? Definitely not the line pilots..

We don't know exactly what movement will be like with the flow here. It may continue on as projected or it could slow down again. Right now we are told we are losing 2 months of flow this year at 20/mo due to un-deferrals.. then it will increase to 30/mo around NOV with the first 170 on property. If that # keeps true we should flow approximately 180 more this year, and will flow 360/yr in 2016 and beyond.. plus outside hiring attrition and retirements of lifers creeping up on 65. Many of our Mid-junior CA's are also bailing for LCC's and majors now and that is increasing due to all the bad news here, not decreasing. We have a lot of highly qualified people here with tons of hours due to our longevity issues. Attrition to outside carriers from here when hiring really picks up will be sky-high.

As bad as things are here we still will have the highest attrition of CA's leaving per month in the industry, By far.. (*So long as AA is hiring). Look at the retirement #'s and decide for yourself if they will be hiring and flowing full classes over the next 5 years. I'd guess thats a yes.. There certainly could be some slow downs or hiccups over the next few years, But barring a major catastrophe we will still flow a LOT of people out of here rapidly. What other regional will be losing 360+ CA's per year? Likely over 400+ with outside attrition. A 10 year + upgrade in that case is history..

To be fair.. I can't say what Endeavor upgrades will be 5 years from now either. But they will be no better than ours without drastic changes to the plan over there. Or we could just Comair tomorrow as well. Who knows..