Originally Posted by
SaltyDog
For lurkers:
Many bypass for variety of good reasons. Always have. 113 FO's were hired in 1995 or earlier and probably will upgrade at age 64 to get Captain retirement. A total of 383 FO's are bypassing captain at this time to include those with a date of September 2000. Junior UPS Captain in training has a hire date of late September 2000. (14.5 year upgrade)
1995-1998 folks generally took 10-11 years for first available Captain upgrade award.
Parking DC-8, 747, market decline in 2008 and 09 and Age 60 (numerous over 60 S/O's) that contractually displaced back to Captain seat pushing the late 95 and junior Captains group off the Captain seat or required a bid to ANC seat to hold left.
I'm guessing if want first available left seat will be current to "15-16" at current conditions for the 2001 crewmembers. Speculative beyond that as more variables to the equation that renders it 'speculative' presently.
All true. The junior captain slot is either domestic 757 or airbus.
How many 757 or airbus jumpseats have we all been on and had the crew turn in their seats and look at us and say, "these schedules are killing me. I'm not gonna make it (to retirement age)"?
And didn't 1354 prove this point? Wasn't that our position to the NTSB? The schedules are killing us.
Is it any wonder that FO's might bypass signing up for this when there is no relief in sight?