Originally Posted by
zoooropa
No offense to Aero, I am not hating the messenger, but I don't care how many 321's are on property. If they pay the same as 318s they are meaningless.
1200 in 20 months? Possible but not probable. Training bandwidth is trading new hires with upgrades each month. F9 is definitely growth mode but whomever preached the 321's and 1200 is blowing smoke.
Just to put some numbers to it:
Looking at the April seniority list we see who's left from classes 2/2014 thru 1/2015. This represents a 12 month period in which we added 164 pilots.
That's 13.6 avg. per month.
Keeping this average would give us 1138 by Dec 31st 2016, of course this only factors attrition hitherto, not ongoing.
They'd need to bump hiring up another 40% to 19/m average, after attrition, to get 1200 pilots by Dec 2016