Originally Posted by
SayAlt
You could, yes, but to prove your contention "only a few benefit" you have to assume supply vs. demand won't change. And we know that's not true. Nor will be.
Supply increases with an age increase.
Demand declines with an age increase because airlines can shut down their training pipelines. For the 3 majors, that's ~1000 pilots per airline.
Those are effects DIRECTLY attributable to an age increase. Any external changes to the supply/demand curve would occur with or without an age increase.
The effect of age increase on pilot supply/demand curve is not rocket science.