Originally Posted by
Benwhaa
Good info, and thanks for your response.
Do you feel these times might come down with all this movement going on at the regionals, and seemingly lack of pilots, would this eventually hit at the Majors?
Thanks again.
It will be 2025 before hiring at the Majors feel the effects of the lack of pilots. Ask around for how many qualified pilots are out there with 1000 turbine. 10-12k right now, with more being pumped through the military and civilian world to replenish it. I could possibly see more mainline jobs being created as a result of the regionals not being able to staff.
A good estimate is for every 3 50 seat aircraft not staffed (24 pilots), they can throw a narrow-body on that route (8 pilots). So you could see hiring pick up a bit, but I don't see too much of an increase. DAL already is hiring for the 717 to replace RJ's. AA is slowly ramping up with their A319 orders. UAL is adding additional narrow-bodies. You can see about 100 more people hired per year, or about 25% increase from the retirement numbers posted per year.
What are your Major airline choices in order? If you are considering DAL, they will not look at you without a 4 year. Also, they rank the school and how much time it took to acquire your degree. Food for thought.
A complete rundown of your qualifications would yield a better guess of when you can get a call. It is more than about flight time. As taken from your first post, you are middle to lower of the pack. However, filling in some information would get you a better evaluation, to determine how many years to get to a major.
Education: 0/5 no degree yet, GPA?
Community service: Volunteering? Aviation organization involvement?
Flight Training: 3/5 military training, but not air force/navy. Instructor Certificates?
Flight Experience: 3/5 low 121 pic turbine, lack of heavy time. LCA?
Employment: 3/5 left aviation for desk job? Other responsibilities in military?