Originally Posted by Skyvector

Just like the flow, the numbers are skewed because of the lost decade of no hiring. For example, our most junior pilot is currently about 5 years from flowing to AA even though the current flow throughs are '99 hires. When you look at who is "currently" doing anything you are painted an inaccurate portrait.

Mathematics is the universal language and doesn't lie and doesn't have bias. Calculate both flow and upgrades based on our flow numbers juxtaposed with AA's retirements. Then keep in mind those numbers are VERY conservative since they don't take into account factors such as growth, early retirements from AA, and Envoy pilots leaving for LCCs, UAL, Delta, and other airlines.