Originally Posted by
Prime
You have taken basically everything I said out of context.
When I said he "gets it" I was referring to the fact that our reserve time "now" means nothing for a new hire today. With the flow taking our senior guys, those times will come down.
There is NO WAY anyone could say this with certainty. Anyone who does, most certain doesn't "get it".
Originally Posted by
Prime
As far as your history lesson of 1980s "paying your dues" and all, I agree. Every generation has it different. I don't know who the guy I quoted is... Maybe he is in his 20s with two years experience. That is not true for every regional pilot, though.
It seems this generation is more adept at cashing checks they haven't received yet and become upset when they bounce. If only subsequent generations learned from those who existed in past ones would true knowledge and understanding occur. Instead, we just get another sad show.
Originally Posted by
Prime
As for your attack on my "supposedly certain" info, it's just numbers. I have no inside info. I'm just looking at our attrition off the top and running the numbers. Simple. Upgrade will come down, flow will come down. In 18 months we'll be flowing 2006 hires. A year after that, 2010.. And so on.
Your first sentence is a disclaimer that you have no factual basis to project anything and then the second is worded as a statement of certainty in complete opposition to the first. It would be more accurate if you inserted the words "I believe..." before the word "upgrade". Envoy will have to remain its present size to produce 270 upgrades this year and 600 (300 flows/300 leaving Envoy for elsewhere) next year and not shrink, yet I've heard nothing about not shrinking.
I guess I don't understand your numbers. They all seem to be based on Envoy NOT shrinking (which has YET to be announced) and a demonstration of bringing in 270 pilots this year and 600 next year as well 50 per month to get that 2006 hire to AA by end of next year and a 2010 Envoy hire to AA by end of 2017.