Originally Posted by
Waitingformins
You really out to be smarter than applying a linier projection to the future. Your last contract hit the burn pile before it hit its half life. The one before that was terminated premature in BK. What was the last year Envoy worked all the way through a signed contract? Every mainline pilot has been through a seniority merger, and most lost their pensions, projecting a long play in this industry has proven to be disappointing. Seniority can be taken away ask AirTran and Continental and Pinnacle and TWA. Contracts can be taken away ask your company and reps.
The only thing that cannot be taken away is your log book. 1,000 to 1 pilots have been hired by what's in their log books as opposed to a contract flow.
I am not saying your assessment is incorrect, its just based on the rules today. That's like telling a 21 year old to calculate his Social Security income at 62 based on the rules today, when he knows darn well the rules wont be the same.
thus far this year, American has hired 32 new hires off the street and 73 flow thru's from Envoy.
That looks like 230% more from flows than off the street this year alone.
The rules of the game are changing. You can play the old way and chase rumors of quick upgrades, or you can see the direction the legacy carriers will be moving in. WO is where new people should be headed. Right now PDT and ENY are the best choices; for previously stated reasons ENY is the better of the two.
Now, what happens with PSA this afternoon could put them back into consideration again. I expect it will.