Originally Posted by
RawHide
The problem with this is as long as Envoy is open and AA is hiring the flow continues. Really I don't see hiring at AA stopping they will slow it some (pbs, combined domestic international ops ....) But the retirements are staggering. With AA being the largest carrier of the 3 legacies and Envoy receiving 50% of hiring plus another ~15% from psa and pdt then add friends and family. Chances of AA from elsewhere is quite small. Delta runs the same friends and family plan and a large part of hiring coming from endeavor ssp. That leaves about half the mainline hiring over the next decade spoken for. Add the number of people with thousands of hours of pic where do you think todays new hire at republic or Mesa will be hired 5 years from now? The answer Jet Blue and spirit, that's fine if it's your goal just know where it leads.
Good point. At the non wholly-owned regional I'm at, attrition rates have been much lower than expected. So many our our pilots have a "legacy or bust" mentality which is holding them back. Yes maybe United will call, but that's still no guarantee. I'm personally devoting my time and energy on the LCC's. Envoy has a good thing going with their flow, as long as they can keep it up.