More correct.

The first bird doesn't arrive until November and hits the line in about February IIRC. Between now and a YEAR from now, perhaps 15 or so of those birds will be in operation. That's 75 F/O's or a little less. I'll bet the overwhelming majority of those F/O's will NOT be among the 175 or so F/O's that upgrade over the next year (14.7 per month) based on projections. As such, MOST new-hires over the next year will be stuck in the 145 and cannot bid the E-175.

However, this may be good news as a few who DO get the 175 over the next year will be junior reserve for quite awhile and that's a bummer. Remember, based on the Volleyball's projections, Envoy is slated to SHRINK (upgrading HALF the captains they PROJECT to flow). Now pilots hired a year from now will likely have a stronger chance of flying that shiny new E-175, but airlines in a contracting mode and plan to remain that way like Envoy don't usually provide rapid movement despite the glowing projections of fuzzy, self-serving salesman or those on a crusade.