Originally Posted by
forgot to bid
The C2012 MBH vs DBH ratio was a concession. Plain and simple.
This builds on it, slightly better, but notice they didn’t put a baseline when they said “1.81 means that mainline must grow 50 aircraft.” We have 124 more jets to be delivered plus 60 added in this PWA. How does a 184 aircraft only become a 50 jet growth? By parking 134 jets.
What’s that? The 88 fleet (116 jets) and then some.
We are forever going to be buying and retiring aircraft, what they’re doing is using that natural business process to add larger regional jets to Delta Connection and continue making outsourcing profitable.
It wasn't a concession, it just didn't do what it purported to do...
Back in C2012 (pre 717) the actual MBH to RBH ratio was 1.19:1, that is for every Regional Block hour, there were 1.19 Mainline Block Hours. Remember that was before drawing down the 50 seaters and before adding the 717 and 739.
Maybe someone from ALPA can chime in with our current MBH to RBH ratio, It certainly will be higher than 1.19:1.
Just for kicks, considering a 25% reduction in DCI (approx 600 to 450 Rjs) and
flat mainline Block Hours since C2012 would make our current ratio 1.58 (1.19:0.75)
Or
flat RJ Block Hours since C2012 and a 30% mainline growth in block hours as slowplay claims would make the current ratio 1.54.
If indeed DCI shrunk by a bunch and mainline increased by 30% our current MBH to RBH ratio ought to be much higher.
How much "wiggle room" does the company get with the 1.81:1 ratio if we keep adding jets and DCI is being reduced?
Cheers
George