Originally Posted by
LeadFoot
If Envoy shrank to half of its current size or even more, the 1100 new hires over the course of the next 6 years could work. Envoy would just have to be smaller in size and maintain at least 15 new hires per month.
If Envoy flows 15/month and hires 15/month, with no outside attrition, yes. The only problem is that's not realistic as outside attrition will be at least equal that, if not more as pilots still wouldn't turn down another legacy or decent LCC, if offered a class (and there WILL likely be classes to attend at other carriers over the next 6 years). Thus, Envoy would realistically need twice that or 30/month to cover outside attrition to be realistic, even at half its present size.
The 15 out/15 in philosophy just isn't realistic, IMO.