Originally Posted by
daOldMan
This is going to be really bad for regional and LCC pilots.
There are going to be a couple thousand pilots out of work and looking for a job. The entire "pilot shortage" thing will be gone instantly. There will be no need for bonuses or pay raises, as all of the Republic pilots will be flocking to the other regionals.
If all of the seats in a new hire class are full, there is no need to raise pay at the bottom.
Why would SkyWest, Envoy, PSA, Piedmont, Endeavor, etc... do anything different if there are suddenly a thousand applicants. That will keep their classes for the next 6 months, and they will be happy.
You forgot that there would be an immediate demand for a couple thousand extra pilot jobs if Republic goes under. The only way your analysis makes sense, is if that flying disappears completely, or there are a couple thousand extra pilots that magically pop up to replace the Republic pilots.
Originally Posted by
ChipChelios
The mainline's MO is to put out RFP's for the lift. Someone will bid for it and staff it with the promise of quick upgrades.
You might be able to staff some of it with the Republic pilots, but most of them won't start over and only 50% of the jobs will be captain spots.