Originally Posted by
The701Express
3.5 years is actually a tad high for junior 320 captain. An October 2012 hire was awarded 320 captain in the December system bid. That's roughly 73% seniority.
Granted no one really wants to spend the holidays at OSC, which I think causes the December bid to go slightly more junior than others, it's still a testament to our reserve work rules that so many FOs bypass upgrade for so long.
Considering the Fall of 2012 was the beginning of the current wave of hiring, the reduction in our aircraft deliveries over the next several years, and the assumption that reserve work rules and overall pay will improve with our first contract, upgrade times will probably not stay this quick for long.
But who knows? Maybe the company will get sick of having so many captain RSA's and decide to finally properly staff for captains, thus negating everything I just said!
What reduction in deliveries? We're still getting 10+ a/c a year through 2022. Only 6 in 2018 but still were getting another 100 planes in 7 years.
Course that could all change but I haven't seen anything about a reduction yet.
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/da.../a201410-k.htm
Pg 22 has the delivery schedule. That's the most recent I'm aware of. I know it shows 24 more 190s but I wouldn't count on that. Imo.