Originally Posted by
daOldMan
There is so much movement in the regional industry that no one can do better than guess what will happen in the next 2-3 years. Things can change overnight. The "guaranteed" flow can turn to crap in a heartbeat, and the loser airline can be the next golden child.
Pick a place that has domiciles that work for you, offer a decent quality of life, and one that is not on the verge of bankruptcy. Other than that, everything is a guess. We only know half of what is going on. The management holds the cards, and they don't even know exactly what is going to happen.
Republic could tank, and there is no telling what could happen next. Air Wisconsin may not get a new contract extension. MESA could vote down their TA and lose AA flying. PSA could implode due to terrible management. (Envoy will likely be a great place...just ask Cujo).
No one knows what is going to happen, most of all, pilots.
Except of course, a certain poster on APC that work for Compass, he knows everything.
But to reiterate your main point, there's going to be so much movement in the industry moving forward that there isn't anyone out there (and I include Anderson, Smisek, and Parker on that list) that know what this industry is going to look like in 5 years.
Personally, it would not surprise me to see 76 seat aircraft on mainline certificates, but that's as far as I go into speculation.