Thread: Guam shutdown
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Old 09-04-2015 | 09:08 PM
  #13  
intrepidcv11
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Originally Posted by Thor
Cut EAS subsidy ( https://www.transportation.gov/sites...ommunities.pdf ) and how sustainable is Guam, really? If there's so much money on the Jap can routes, why did UA dump 3 Japanese city pairs and ICN?
Cutting subsides to the FSM is a bit different from cutting air service to Saranac Lake. If the US military is willing to challenge Chinese man made islands on the 9 Dash Line, can't see why we are in a big hurry to reduce influence in the nearby FSM. If Congress cuts back, the Chinese will gladly step in.

As for Japan, again the weaker yen killed travel from secondary Japanese cities. Throw in a JV with ANA and it doesn't make much sense to run 150 people/week from Hiroshima to Guam on a nonstop. KIX, NGO, and NRT will do just fine 2X/day. As for ICN, Korean low cost carriers (including one owned by Korean Air) made a red eye to Guam a loser before we ever started.

Originally Posted by Thor
2 published displacements, yes. But, the max on the min/max for the base has gone from the mid 90s to 65-ish in a year. If it wasn't it for the recent megabids, displacements would tell a much more accurate story of staffing Guam flying.
Perhaps, but even if we go from mid 90's to 65 does that equal we are destined to shut down? Alot of build up out the last couple years was due to utter confusion as to how they would staff the Island Hopper and the Asia flying getting proper work rules. And if you put faith in UAL crew planning to appropriately plan staffing, then you are a much more forgiving soul then me.

Last edited by intrepidcv11; 09-04-2015 at 09:39 PM.
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