Based in FAT.
I agree with Rick, I think the upgrade will probably be around 2.5 - 3 years if we continue to lose people at 20 month. I am sure you could upgrade in less time, but you will probably be on reserve out of ORD.
ORD, MKE are going so junior because like Rick said, most people are from the West and want to stay west. If you are like myself, from the midwest, being here helps with seniority. If you want to be a CA in SLC, you won't be senior senior any time soon. I don't know how senior ATL is going as far as captains. My year is September 4th and I amcurrently around 13 or 14 out of 18 in ATL. I am 50% up the list in ORD, 9/50 in MKE and 160/180 in Denver. But again, that is with a lot of growth. Unless they have something up their sleeve, things will settle down after November or December in my opinion.