Originally Posted by
webecheck
Hey man, thanks! I do feel blessed. I have looked at the retirements, but I think DAL data stops at 2027. What I wasn't sure of, was how much hiring had already happened and how that will affect your line number. The pool depth should be accounted for. I know UAL wants to hire 1600 over the next 2 years, and I thought they had hired about the same this yr, but its about a 9-10 week wait for a class...not 7-8 months like DAL.
UAL gave me some nuggets at the interview. About 2500 retirements in 5, 4900 in 10, and virtually the entire seniority list exhausted in 20 years. I am thinking DAL probably has an average pilot age younger than UAL but I could be wrong. So while the progression will be comparable over the next 10-15 years, after that does one continue while another stagnates? Guess that is what I am trying to figure out.
2015 64 2031 455
2016 217 2032 383
2017 279. 2033. 302
2018 394. 2034. 227
2019 489. 2035. 169
2020 595. 2036. 162
2021 786. 2037. 133
2022 842
2023 802
2024 797
2025 713
2026 608
2027 510
2028 493
2029 497
2030 523
After 2037 its around 100 but these numbers change because that's where most of the new hires fall.