Originally Posted by
PilotJ3
Man...I've been here 5 years and every vacancy always had 12-18 month "no later than".
Seems that you are running out of bullets. You know, weather is nice outside, why don't you go and do something productive with your day off?
Do you really think the company will announce 10 upgrades and wait 18months before they go to training? Serious question.
Of course not, but that is not the primary obstacle for you. The primary obstacle for the flow (and thus upgrades) in the future will be AA's almost certain lack of need for additional pilots starting late next year as they combine the three pre-merger seniority lists in actuality and do more with less via PBS. Just how long it will take them to right-size their pilot/flying equation even WITH retirements (which are still relatively modest for the next few years) is the wild card, but you can be sure it will be at least a year and probably more. You can nitpick that 18 month NLT training date until you flop over if it makes you feel more positive though. What it does is give flexibility to a management who VERY unsure themselves their upgrade/flow projections will TRULY be met and THAT is the message.
Anyone who thinks ANYONE in this industry can predict ANYTHING with any reasonable degree of certainty out 2, 4 or 6 years needs their head examined. It seems Envoy has A LOT of pilots who fit that requirement and even a rep or two.
