Originally Posted by
eaglefly
Of course not, but that is not the primary obstacle for you. The primary obstacle for the flow (and thus upgrades) in the future will be AA's almost certain lack of need for additional pilots starting late next year as they combine the three pre-merger seniority lists in actuality and do more with less via PBS. Just how long it will take them to right-size their pilot/flying equation even WITH retirements (which are still relatively modest for the next few years) is the wild card, but you can be sure it will be at least a year and probably more. You can nitpick that 18 month NLT training date until you flop over if it makes you feel more positive though. What it does is give flexibility to a management who VERY unsure themselves their upgrade/flow projections will TRULY be met and THAT is the message.
Anyone who thinks ANYONE in this industry can predict ANYTHING with any reasonable degree of certainty out 2, 4 or 6 years needs their head examined. It seems Envoy has A LOT of pilots who fit that requirement and even a rep or two.
Did you just make a prediction about AA hiring needs in the next few years and then follow it up with a statement that that anyone who predicts anything in this industry needs their head examined? Really?
I agree with you that it will be hard to predict. That's why, my position all along, has been a wait and see approach.
I'm here now, building time, updating the apps, looking for a move up. If it comes and the flow is looking ugly, I'll bail. If it's looking good, I'll stay.
Sorry you had it rough in your time at Eagle. The next decade plus is looking much better for all of us, not just pilots at Envoy.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk