ENY
1984 total pilots
~300 who will retire here
~1650 who could flow
attrition over 6 years to other carriers, estimate 300 easy (could be much more)
So, we need to flow 1350 over 6 years for a new hire today to go to AA
50% flow (essentially) to 10-2011 DOH (majority of our list) with less than 300 on list after that. After that they flow at 35% of each class, no fewer than 15 each month.
600-800 projected new hires at AA next year
300 ENY Pilots to flow
Retirements at AA pick up starting this year

Do the math at roughly 300 a year flowing to AA

Somebody getting hired at Envoy today will have the entire list dumping out above them very swiftly now that the hiring really begins to take off.
Look at the hiring this year from other major carriers.
It's starting !!

2,879 Pilots hired THIS year at real jobs.

Alaska Airlines
Hired 20 pilots in September and 215 year-to-date. Verified by FAPA on 10 OCT 2015
American Airlines
Will continue to hire into 2015. Hired 254 year-to-date. Verified by FAPA on 21 OCT 2015
Delta Air Lines
Hired 22 pilots in September and 813 year-to-date. Verified by FAPA on 19 OCT 2015
FedEx
Hired 12 pilots in September and 99 year-to-date. Verified by FAPA on 19 OCT 2015
JetBlue
Hired 5 pilots in September and 193 year-to-date. Verified by FAPA on 10 OCT 2015
Southwest Airlines
Hired approximately 174 year-to-date. Expects to hire 348 during 2015. Verified by FAPA on 21 OCT 2015
Spirit Airlines
Hired 28 pilots in September and 226 year-to-date. Verified by FAPA on 10 OCT 2015
United Airlines
Hired 66 pilots in September and646 year-to-date. Verified by FAPA on 19 OCT 2015
UPS
Hired 7 pilots in September and 85 year-to-date. Sending pilot recruiters to FAPA.aero Pilot Career Conference & Job Fair in Orlando on November 20th. Verified by FAPA on 21 OCT 2015