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Old 10-28-2015 | 06:36 AM
  #1682  
eaglefly
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Joined: Jun 2008
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Originally Posted by Cujo665
There only around 1,000 captains. 300 won't flow. That leaves 700 that will leave one way or another. We are projected to flow 350 next year alone. That's over 1/3 of our active captains in 1 year. This place is about to turn into an upgrade factory.
We have a fully staffed schoolhouse, we have the sims, we have excess pilots to absorb the training bubble.
If AA "hires" 700 pilots next year (a tall order and wildly assumptive due to the unkown number of deferees that elect to return), 75-100 will be from non-Envoy WO's, leaving perhaps a little over 600 to base Envoy's projected flow to AA or a little over 300. Envoy will have outside attrition (which is variable and usually higher in Spring/Summer) and to meet that burden without contracting or stunting the "upgrade factory" you claim, Envoy will need about 35-40 new-hires/month. Each and every month starting now (actually a couple of months ago to "front load" that factory assembly line).

Has that required burden been met so far or is an increasing deficit in progress ?

I understand your motivations for your obscene level of salesmanship here Mason, but again, I think your claims are overly optimistic and based on best case scenarios with no bumps in the road. Additionally, what happens over the next 18-24 months regarding Envoy flow is an equation involving flushing the remaining 824 (about 400 or so left) and not one of long-term considetation involving non-824 Envoy pilots, let alone new-hires of today. Considering the ripness for Envoy's consolidation or other alteration of Envoy, any "projections" beyond the next 18 months or so are truly a product of Miss Cleo.

I have no doubt Envoy management is proud of you though for steadfastly and tirelessly pack-muling so much of their water, but doing so only subjects many potential Envoy new-hires to future drowning when the sweet nectar you endlessly promise invariably doesn't arrive as claimed as it almost certainly wont for many of them.
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