Originally Posted by
emb145
What you are saying is true, however the 2.5/6 the company/union is selling is all based on projections. In the airline world it's best to work with facts. The current status is that upgrade sits at slightly under 8 years, while the current flow is mid 15 year seniority.
Similar to taking a job with a Part 91 company that has a Caravan but is "about to upgrade to a King Air 90." Until you are taxiing that King Air away from the FBO, you are still flying a Caravan.
You do have to go with facts, however the current upgrade and flow time is meaningless for a new hire, at any regional. You have to look at fleet plans and attrition.
Envoy has guaranteed attrition through the flow, which is in addition to the attrition all airlines will experience in the future. The latest word is the shrinking has finally stopped, with the slowing of the crj transfers and the 175s arriving, envoy is actually (finally) in a good position.
You could go to a regional with a short upgrade and completely miss that, and be the fo forever. Or you could get lucky, it all depends. Facts are important, but don't point to current upgrade times as a fact for a new hire. They are essentially meaningless.