Originally Posted by
FlameNSky
Actually, no they don't. Many a frustrated pilot have been hired by a company that currently had fast upgrades and couldn't understand what happened as they waited years and years to do so. Anyone hired by PSA in the last 6 months will be to know this feeling very well.
When I was hired by Eagle, had gone from two years to 6 years and growing. It had peaked at 10 years, 10 years to upgrade but it took me 6 1/2 years. It has currently gone from that to almost 8 years and the current junior Captain is a Oct 2007 hire. 220 upgrades next year will make it a late 2008 hire. After them it was a hiring gap so it will jump to a 2010 hire.
You may like to speculate that they will stop the flow but it is a contractual provision just like any other provision. You might as well say, "Don't go to RAH, they cannot afford to pay their $40 so your paycheck will bounce." "Don't go to SkyWest, they don't have a contract and they can do whatever they want"
But it is still speculation. It could be a 2 year upgrade, or a 12 year. It is just a guess. The only TRUE number is what upgrades are right now. There are simply too many variables to consider in making a guess.
The current upgrade time is a FACT. That is it.
Envoy could have an accident tomorrow that causes it to go out of business. Same is true of most any small company airline. The doors will close, AAG will spin off another company with a different name, and reset the pay of everyone involved to first year. Post REAL numbers, not what you hope is going to happen.