I'll say this much. Things might not be all roses right now but if you look at the numbers of pilots who have flowed and the projections which IMO will not stop we can see a lot of attrition here in the next 2 years. I had recurrent the other month and he sat down and spent about an hour plus answering any questions we had. He told us how AAG has determined the flow through and upgrade numbers and he himself said some of the data has assumptions such as X number of FO's/ month leaving for other airlines etc. I'm not necessarily defending the said times, just that this isn't something he just made up on the fly.
AAG is hanging their hat, as of now, on flow and it seems to me they are well aware what would happen to their WO if that ceases. With the amount of retirees AA is facing I have no doubts things will at least improve significantly in 2016. Don't forget if you look at the seniority lists we have huge gaps in DOH from 2001-2004, not a lot in 2005, 2009-20011. So while it seems like a joke with the 2.5 and 6, it COULD happen if the "assumptions" in AAG's calculations are correct. I personally don't think it will be as quick as they say but probably not too far off, especially with the flow.
A new hire here will have at least one benefit and that is at least a flow into AA and can still keep their apps up to date and get hired off the street with the other 2 majors eventually. As for other regional guys who want to go to AA they on the other hand are in a bad spot since the majority of new hires into AA will be primarily military and obviously a few select others.
For those of you who are not here, I would be cautious reading too much into everything negative here. Ya there's a lot that needs fixing, but I can't say this is a terrible place to work. I've personally enjoyed my time here and just as in life it's all about what you make of things.