Originally Posted by
eaglefly
We both are making predictions and it's my prediction that once the 824 are done and Envoy is right-sized (contracts to a smaller carrier) to approximate the growing two other WO's, the flow must and will be balanced out so that no one carrier (of three essentially equal sized carriers) will have a lopsided flow attrition mechanism. I think you are assuming the CURRENT situation as being the long-term plan, but if the three carriers will eventually be equal, it makes sense all factors are equal to ensure balance. The current situation IMO, is driven by desire to move the 824 ASAP and remove that issue from the equation.
I'm curious as to why you arbitrarily pick the 824 as the point in time when AAG reneges on their flow agreement with envoy, specifically the Protected Pilot and the contractual flow after that? The only reason I can see you saying that is that you see the 824 agreement working as advertised, so have to pick on the agreements that are next in line in order to look like you have some legitimacy.
What you also fail to mention is that the flow agreements with PDT and envoy are essentially the same once you hit a certain threshold. That threshold being anybody hired here post DOS. Until then, envoy's flow is far and away better (in terms of amount being sent to AA vs. total size of the pilot group) then any other WO. Again, yes for those hired post DOS, the envoy and PDT flow provisions are relatively balanced out. Hence why the flow projection is the same general time period at both PDT and envoy. But you seem to be under the constant belief that AAG is going to renege on the provisions of the flow post-824, in order to "balance it out" with the other two WO's, yet provide no legitimate evidence or argument to back that prediction up.
Edit; Unless you've been out of the loop, envoy is "right sized" or at least very close to it. This does not include any of the anticipated (not yet announced) return of the TSA birds which would correlate to growth. So by your prediction, shouldn't the other two WO's be getting a nice little christmas gift from Dougie in the form of a better flow? Or do they have to wait for the end of the 824 to get a better flow?