Using the latest seniority list (which is short about 150 pilots), assuming no departures since then...over half the VOTING seniority list is on year 5 pay or less. 15 on the chart represents 15+ years of service.



The pay slope between 2nd year and final year pay is as follows. Prop. is the latest company proposal DOS...which actually increases FO slope.



Finally, here are the % raises each longevity would receive under JB+3% and the company proposal (both at DOS) vs. current rates.



Draw your own conclusions from the above info, but whether or not a TA will pass is dependent on how it impacts that largest voting blocks. Year 2-5 vs 6 - 15+.

To be more like our peers, rates would need to become closer to average and slope for CA around 10 - 15% and for FO, 40-50%.

Again, the slopes assume 2nd year pay for both seats. 1st year pay is another issue altogether.