Originally Posted by
1stCivDivPilot
I guess that's the big question. Are there enough reserves to cover all the open time that will be left? Don't we currently have reserves that don't fly?
Maybe we not only drop down but focus on a certain part of the month as well? If there's 11 reserves available say the first week of the month but 15-20 open pairings, there will be cancellations. If open time is all spread out during the month, it might all get covered.
Yes there are currently reserves that don't fly, but I don't think there are that many. (I don't have the numbers) So there may be enough reserves to cover the open time, but that doesn't leave enough reserves to provide the purpose that reserves are for, covering sick calls, maintenance, and weather issues.
Especially in the coming months, the company has already shown a loss in total number of pilots, there are still 2 months of disruptive weather (starting again tonight) and flying will start picking up again with the spring holidays and carry through until summer.
The company is already on the brink of a manning crisis, they just need a little push.