Thread: New Mesa Thread
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Old 02-14-2016 | 07:09 PM
  #4454  
flapshalfspeed
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Originally Posted by BeatNavy
Estimations on movement and upgrade times aren't factual information, even if flaps says it. Facts are that 2/3 of the seniority list at DL and I think AA/UA as well will retire in the next 10 years. A lot of that will happen in the next 5 years. Everyone who is still stuck in the lost decade mindset that there is no hiring and movement outside of regional growth hasn't absorbed that yet. Movement is happening. Attrition off the top at Mesa is happening. Lifers are changing their mind. Lateral moves aren't the only moves FOs are making either. LCCs are growing, legacies are growing, and retirements are happening. Even an economic downturn and the rise of oil prices in 9-12 months can't stop the retirements, and regional pilots (even Mesa ones) will move to LCCs and legacies (Until age 67 happens and delays it a couple more years). Until the right seats aren't filled, upgrades will remain quick (<2 years) here.
1.25% attrition from the Captain ranks between January 1st and now. Until I see that number climbing, I will be in a "lost decade" mindset.