Originally Posted by
cr700
You want numbers? Well, here you go. AA is projecting to hire 750 this year. That will be 375 flows for 2016.
There are flows in class today from last year's selection.
The January selections got class dates assigned in March. That's about 6 weeks delay.
Let's ignore the gap between selection and actual class date and assume 100 actually make it into an AA class before May. Let's also make the wildly conservative assumption that only 100 AA pilots undefer and return. That's just over a month's worth of classes filled at 60/mo. Add the slowdown in July and December to the AA training department. Out of 12 months, we get approximately 9 to transfer 30 a month.
9 x 30 is 270.
Because we're metering, the 50% value of the class is invalid, therefore we cannot consider 50% of 750.
We've already stipulated an actual transfer of 100.
170 more flows for the rest of the year.
Unless you're telling us that the metering is going to be stopped? I haven't heard any noises that the AA and ENY training centers are ramping up to meet the theoretical number of 750 newhires and the required upgrades.