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Old 02-19-2016 | 04:19 PM
  #46  
Nantonaku
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Joined: Dec 2013
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Originally Posted by phalanxo
Your troll game is strong as always FB but you know as well as I do that pilots are commodities. I can't predict the future. But I can tell you official attrition numbers just came out and it's even better than I thought... 35 so far this year, and it's only Feb 19th. Again, 600 active pilots. I'm not promising an 18 month upgrade, but is it going to be faster than Skywest? Absolutely yes it is... and the math sure works out pretty decently close /if things stay the same/ as I said.
But you really think we're positioned to lose flying as one of the cheapest operators of an extremely in demand jet? I highly doubt that. DL would like to give us MORE flying. AA stuff... we are doing so well with it and we're cheap enough that the economics state it'll stay around, plus who the hell is gonna be able to staff it? Envoy? you must be joking... not on that concessionary contract. Even if it did go away, regional pilots aren't so cheap or easy to find these days, so that's a commodity. And we are basically a staffing agency, we don't own the planes or the gas or the engines. We just have pilots.. which have value. I'm not selling anybody down the river, I'm just backing up the math. 14 in jan and 22 so far this month. Granted some are FOs, but the CA attrition alone is high enough that with the size of the pilot group movement is gonna continue to be quick. That's not a pyramid scheme, you can do the math the same as I can.
Every Regional in the country is going to have a 2-3 year upgrade in the future, even Skywest. The stability, resources (to attract new pilots) and base selection of Skywest is worth the extra few months it would take to upgrade. If Compass announced more flying then that might change things.