Originally Posted by
Buzzlightyear
You're numbers are way off. We will send 120 by April. AA recruitment/HR is then predicting zero new hires thus zero flows for May, June and July as they work through recalls. Which leaves Aug-Dec for new hires and flows(5 months). You say 375 flows this year? After flowing 120 by April that leaves 255 flows in the remaining 5 months of 2016. Does 50 flows a month Aug-Dec sound reasonable to you? We will be lucky to flow 240 in 2016. Your numbers are wildly optimistic for this year.
His upgrade projections are still a mess. He's simply parroting the company line. Envoy's 2016 upgrade claim of 205 is already slipping and still for 2017 through mid-2018 WAY too many F/O's would have to upgrade and they can't even live up to 2016's comparatively feeble numbers. The flow projections are Pollyanna pie-in-the-sky from people who are holding back a measly 5 pilots/month now with claims it will break them because of staffing. With an approximate average of 40% system reserve coverage, zero and part-time lines this is absurd.
Jesus, what an embarrassing disaster of a sales pitch he makes considering the sobering realities now obvious.