Even if they don't furlough, there will still be stagnation from losing aircraft. Then there will be the couple of years of complete uncertainty on everything else, uncertainty on the remaining fleet contracts, and the work group contracts WILL be altered. nobody gets off untouched in bankruptcy. How much? Who knows what they will come after, May be minor things with the pilots, may not be. If people think one specific group of the company gets off untouched in a bankruptcy, while everyone else gets hammered, you have got another thing coming. Why would a junior pilot stay and endure 2 years of that miserable volatile process on the "hope" that things just magically work out in their favor a couple years later, when there are better, more stable options out there right now?
I've been through it at Eagle and seen exactly how this game goes. I was fairly senior and didn't leave, should have instead of being downgraded twice, displaced multiple times and stagnating for years. It was very stressful times, with constant uncertainty, rumor, threats, consolidation, contract cuts, aircraft removals, low moral, massive stagnation and a small furlough. The junior guys I know that bailed are pretty much all way better off, and ahead of me in the game for staying. Pinnacle/Mesaba/Colgan people went through the same thing. I talk to many of them commuting about our similar experiences. Terrible stagnant place to be for years until things turned around. RAH will very likely be no different.
If you are junior I'd get out early. Not much of anything to lose by bailing before things inevitably get worse. I don't know ANYONE that says, gee, I wish I had stayed at that regional though bankruptcy.
Last edited by RyanP; 02-26-2016 at 08:38 AM.