Originally Posted by
amcnd
With current attrition and training full speed ahead i would guess it will be around 3 years this summer. Under rhat this fall.. (Been tracking it a long time... This is oddly familure of 2005-7 time frame were upgrade dropped to 2 years)
Respectfully disagree. Jan 2012 hires upgrade in this upcoming March class. You expect to upgrade through all the FOs we hired in 2012 (lots) in four/five months (July/August)?
I see status quo four year upgrades until we hit the 2013 hiring freeze gap. That will drop almost a whole year off, I'd guess it would still be slightly over three years post gap.
The amount of bypassers can skew it though.
The gap will drop it but we are 9 months from that point.
Last winter they had a month of 100 or so upgrades, I don't see that happening again as it overloaded the system.