Originally Posted by Nantonaku

I'll take that bet. The upgrade right now is over EIGHT years. Classes are full until June. Training can only handle 150 more upgrades this year (they might award more but classes are already a month behind what they wanted). There are almost 150 people who by-passed and there are still a hand full of XJ's from 2008. It is possible the next two awards could be filled just with pre-merger pilots who waited to upgrade. That would fill classes until the end of 2016 with upgrade at that point being close to 9 years. 2011 new hires will start to be awarded it for the new year which is still a 6 year upgrade. 1 year upgrades are not happening this year and even next year would be a huge stretch.