So what?

10 years ago it was foolish to believe that.

10 years ago Congress had not mandated the ATP rule. 10 years ago airline retirements forced by demographics weren't looming as they are now (even with the age 65 increase).

10 years ago no one was giving signing bonuses and pay rate increases.

10 years ago there was no talk of "flow" and upgrades weren't happening in less than 2 years.

Like you said, things change.

Today, it isn't foolish to believe a new hire will be at a major within a decade.

Don't be bitter at today's 121 new hires because they will do in 5-7 years what you have yet to accomplish in 10+. That only makes you small and selfish and feeds into the "us vs. them" mentality that divides pilots and harms pilot unity.

Bottom line: just because it hasn't happened for you yet doesn't mean circumstances won't change (hint: they have) and today's new hires will necessarily experience what you've experienced. And don't be jealous if they don't have to endure what you've endured.