Originally Posted by
Cujo665
3950 was 2015-2021; that is six years from when the company first projected a 6 year flow to AA. Half of the 3950 retirements is well above our entire pilot list of guys who will elect to flow. We've already sent over 500 of the 824. People complain about Envoy shrinking from 3000 to now under 2000 without ever considering that over 850 went via flow to AA. Like it or not, the new AAG is much better than AMR was at making the flow work.
Is it perfect, nope; but it's a better program than anybody else has.
Not what you seemed to insinuate. It was more confidence ALL present Envoy pilots will flow BY 2021. But, to be accurate a new hire of today (or Charlie Bucket from Last May with what, 100 pilots junior to him) are concerned with today's projection forward. If by end of 2020, how many Envoy pilots can flow if only 50% equals 1400 or so ? Not all. Envoy is keen about metering even when they don't have to and can they meter to say 25/month for PP pilots ? If so, by the end of the window you describe (BY 2021), that would be about 300/year or 1300 or so and if Envoy has 1900 pilots the statement all Envoy pilots will flow BY end of 2020 seems not so cut and dried.