Originally Posted by
PilotJ3
Well, if the ALPA numbers are correct. I should go in 2019, by then I would be 8yrs in the company almost 9.
Now, it all depends, that's with the bare minimums and no attrition. I think it could be late 2018.
I said the path down to 6 yrs is on the way.
Their under six year projection was based on newhires now and since last May. Comparing that to guys who've been here when there was no flowing due to no hiring at AA is not a valid comparison.
Their math on flow being under six years for those hired after last May does work just based off mandatory retirements alone.
That doesn't mean any number of things couldn't upset the apple cart; but that is pure speculation. I actually expect it to shorten as more guys leave for other airlines as hiring picks up.
What's factual is the flow is and has been working the past 5 years catching up on all the guys who've been trapped here during the lost decade.
AAG has been doing much better than AMR ever did at keeping the flow going. Not perfectly, and those issues are being dealt with in the appropriate manner.
There are many things that need fixing. However, their plan to create a cradle to grave career is progressing pretty well.