Originally Posted by
ag386
Some additional lies for you...
Envoy's Hiring and Total Seniority List since 12/31/13.
- Hired 150 in 2013. About 70 of those remain. 12.5 average new hires per month for 2013.
About 2780 total pilots on list at end of 2013.
- Hired 110 in 2014. About 61 of those remain. 9.1 average new hires per month for 2014.
About 2370 total pilots on list at end of 2014.
- Hired 100 in 2015. About 95 of those remain. 8.3 average new hires per month for 2015.
About 1960 total pilots on list at end of 2015.
- Hired 44 in 2016. ?? remain. 14.6 average new hires per month for 2016.
About 1850 total pilots on list at present.
Looks like you may indeed end up waiting more than 2 years to flow if the trends above don't reverse themselves.
Again, if 300 flow this year and 300 next year, that's 600 pilots. If you figure half that number leave for outside employment (reasonable and conservative considering historical numbers), that's 900 pilots. To not shrink which negatively impacts both advancement within a status (off reserve, etc.) and change of status (upgrade), Envoy will need at a MINIMUM 38 pilots/month and more importantly each and every month. If Envoy cannot meet that metric, it shrinks and shrinking CAN impact the flow negatively. The reason they withheld 5 puddly pilots in March (aside from the fact they could), is ostensibly because looking forward they would be............yup, short of pilots.
Too few pilots = impeded flow to AA.
Q.E.D.