Originally Posted by
dfwflyboy
what happens if Envoy can't staff the growth or attrition. What happens if they start to become like Republic and cancel flights. Will AA continue to flow them at 30/month? or will the flows drip to a halt? Just wondering...
There will be a point where flowing will start to cancel flights...it's inevitable. Most likely will happen before new hires get to flow...Think about it.
A valid consideration that some want others to disregard. While April's hire numbers have been close to that consistently needed on a monthly basis for the next 5-6 years if todays class of Charlie Buckets plan to flow at the projected time, one month is not 66-72 months (5.5-6 years). The undeniable fact is that if Envoy cannot get 35+ new-hires each and every month for the next 66-72 months, it shrinks and shrinking airlines need fewer captains and also lose flying assignments.
It would be interesting to find out how many of this and next months new-hires are pipeline pilots which could be expected to elevate class counts periodically around typical end of semester times. It would also be interesting to see how many of those pilots will still be at Envoy a year from now. Envoy has to essentially pull off a long-term miracle to ensure present pilots flow to AA in the projected time frame and that cannot be denied.