Originally Posted by
eaglefly
If you think about it, the more flying they convince AAG they can do, the more pilots they must get to keep the house of cards from collapsing. It's like a junkie who develops a tolerance for their drug and must ingest higher doses of the drug for the same effect. Eventually, the junkie cannot support their habit and a predictable path to destruction occurs.
At this point Envoy HAS to bring in as many pilots as they lose or they are in trouble and with each increase in flying (the "habit"), the more of the "drug" (pilots) they need.
The question is how long can this vicious cycle continue ?
One could argue the more pilots they keep getting the more flying they will keep getting and the more pilots they will get. A revolving door is in eagles history. If the flow works it'll pay off. The have alot of cards left to play still and it will take years for this to play out. They can merge envoy and piedmont short term, they can merge psa long term. They can buy someone. They can push someone into ch 11. They can just bring more flying to mainline. They can increase aa new hire class % to flow and stop any hopes of off the street pushing guys to the wo. They can issue hard seniority numbers. They honestly could give every envoy pilot 50k a year extra. The regional sector is in deep doo doo and trust me envoy isn't the one in danger for some time.