4.5 and undetermined.
Yes, based on the current hiring trend of a single newhire and overall performance, that is the projection. Undoubtedly, this estimate can move in either direction, and it will do so.
The union places the blame directly at management's feet. Poor schedules, incorrect pay, lower first year pay, contract abuses, and the catch-22 environment surrounding flow/upgrade/hiring that company has created are all major factors.