Originally Posted by word302

I think you may have skipped statistics in high school. While the upgrade might get close to 2 years for a short time, anything less than that is nearly numerically impossible. Our training department could handle maybe 50 upgrades a month maximum. Do the math man. At 4000 pilots, even if half the FOs defer upgrade, you're looking at nearly 2 years. I guarantee much less than half will defer.

You may also want to familiarize yourself with part 121 regarding what it take to act as PIC. Just sayin'.