I don't remember statistics in high school but I did take it in college and grad school and happen to have the book "Applications of probability and Random Variables", 1974 edition, sitting on the table next to me, but I certainly don't consider myself an expert at it. I have looked at the numbers of people bypassing upgrades which is pretty high for many reasons including not wanting to commute, not wanting to be at the bottom, not feeling ready. And, if there is a 1000 part 121 requirement for upgrade, then the upgrade time will go way down and that decrease will accelerate rapidly when it enters the realm of pilots who have been here less than 2 years and do not have the 1000 hours needed.

I think that many of you will be surprised at how low it goes, even at Skywest. I think that even I will be surprise. I'm just trying to look at things and make projections.