Originally Posted by
Sniper66
RJ flying is coming back to mainline and more direct flights to secondary Chinese destinations is where United will grow
Parking 22 744s at 2018
Receiving
65 new 737-7s
100 737 max 2018 -21
25 737-9 from now till end 2017
14 777-3 2016-17
12 more 787-9 from now to 2018
42 used Airbus 2016-18
35 A350 2018-2020
732-22 retirements = 710 plus 281 deliveries used and new the next 4-5 years IS 991 aircraft flying x 16.5 pilots per plane average
16,350 pilots per my math add vacation coverage and I guess 15 percent reserve
WE SHALL SEE either way a good growth and let's hope it stays that way
AND, by 2020, we have a bunch of 777-200's that are 25 years old, a bunch of airbus's 25-30 years old, some 757's and 763's that are over 35 years old. There are lot of mainland aircraft that can, and will, be sent to the desert in a downturn.
I do see 70 seat RJ's coming to the mainline, and that is the way forward to 18k pilots. Or, we buy somebody. I would have guessed Alaska until they paid 4B for VX.
UAL is sticking to seat mile growth of under 2% total. That doesn't get the mainline to 18k pilots in 4 years unless more of UAL flying comes to the mainline, and express shrinks.