Originally Posted by Timbo

Absent growth, the movement is only to replace retiring pilots, and retiring aircraft. The more manning concessions we give up (like higher ALV's and pay banding) the fewer retiring pilots will need to be replaced 1-1.

The 9 remaining 747's are supposed to be in the fall of 2017. The A350's will be coming online next year, as well as the 5 remaining A330 IGW's this year. That's going to generate some movement in AE's at the top, and the A321's/737-9's/C100's are going to generate movement at that end. It may not growth, but movement.

Take away the incentive to move airplanes for more money, and you won't be sending as many pilots to school, which makes them available to fly 91 hour lines instead, resulting in fewer pilots needed overall.